Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.066113 0.077596 0.090413 0.105772 0.123669 0.143861 0.168367
2025-08-03 0.049167 0.064337 0.083114 0.108028 0.140189 0.180279 0.234039
2025-08-10 0.039739 0.056565 0.079120 0.111487 0.156671 0.217444 0.305348
2025-08-17 0.031316 0.047819 0.071457 0.107659 0.161577 0.238785 0.357637
2025-08-24 0.026175 0.042475 0.067200 0.107249 0.170313 0.265596 0.420291
2025-08-31 0.022051 0.037792 0.062930 0.105745 0.176601 0.288896 0.480047
2025-09-07 0.019527 0.035166 0.061333 0.107968 0.188680 0.322214 0.559381
2025-09-14 0.016915 0.031911 0.058117 0.106843 0.194770 0.346169 0.625883
2025-09-21 0.014538 0.028656 0.054361 0.104104 0.197456 0.364332 0.684242
2025-09-28 0.012504 0.025696 0.050669 0.100857 0.198601 0.379618 0.738926
2025-10-05 0.011481 0.024526 0.050129 0.103416 0.210818 0.416318 0.837530
2025-10-12 0.010428 0.023121 0.048915 0.104436 0.220080 0.448368 0.930859
2025-10-19 0.009458 0.021768 0.047668 0.105322 0.229411 0.482107 1.032730
2025-10-26 0.008661 0.020670 0.046804 0.106904 0.240427 0.520628 1.149429
2025-11-02 0.008090 0.019990 0.046736 0.110186 0.255483 0.569239 1.293340
2025-11-09 0.007072 0.018099 0.043702 0.106373 0.254316 0.583090 1.363457
2025-11-16 0.006412 0.016965 0.042237 0.105963 0.260794 0.614348 1.476100
2025-11-23 0.005765 0.015761 0.040432 0.104475 0.264513 0.639758 1.578311
2025-11-30 0.005396 0.015214 0.040148 0.106672 0.277371 0.687706 1.739257
2025-12-07 0.004895 0.014235 0.038640 0.105560 0.281870 0.716331 1.856930
2025-12-14 0.004376 0.013122 0.036629 0.102853 0.281939 0.734163 1.949992
2025-12-21 0.003895 0.012038 0.034541 0.099644 0.280262 0.747417 2.033013
2025-12-28 0.003693 0.011736 0.034544 0.102173 0.294293 0.802317 2.230779